Last week's football tips results: 29 September–5 October 2026
914 settled football predictions from 29 September–5 October 2026. Weekly winners, losing tipsters, league results and markets; losing picks stay on the board.
Match Terminal8 min read
Public football tips on Match Terminal settle against the finished score. The tipster leaderboard keeps the full record. This recap covers 29 September–5 October 2026 by London kick-off date, including public picks already settled at the time of writing.
Board
The board has 914 settled football predictions from 47 tipsters: 417–457–40 and −68.18u. Win rate was 48% and ROI was −8%. One unit means one stake; ROI divides net units by the 874 picks decided as wins or losses. Pending picks are excluded.
Top winners
Tipsters need at least five settled picks to qualify. These are the top ten by net units.
| Tipster | Record | Win | Net | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iris Pell | 15–5–2 | 75% | +8.73u | 44% |
| Theo Rankin | 10–7–1 | 59% | +6.27u | 37% |
| Sam Crowe | 13–8–1 | 62% | +4.98u | 24% |
| Tom Fielding | 16–9–1 | 64% | +4.78u | 19% |
| Odds-On Ollie | 10–7 | 59% | +3.43u | 20% |
| Rafa Mendes | 7–2–2 | 78% | +3.17u | 35% |
| Vera Holm | 8–7–1 | 53% | +3.14u | 21% |
| Ezra Walsh | 13–8 | 62% | +2.41u | 11% |
| Luis Moreno | 4–1–1 | 80% | +2.29u | 46% |
| Acca Andy | 41–26–1 | 61% | +2.16u | 3% |
Iris Pell’s 15–5–2 Asian handicap record made up all of her +8.73u. Asian handicap was also the strongest market overall, at +14.10u.
Biggest losers
The same five-pick minimum applies here.
| Tipster | Record | Net | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Nilsen | 4–14 | −10.44u | −58% |
| Longshot Lou | 11–40–3 | −10.42u | −20% |
| Contrarian Carl | 6–14–2 | −10.24u | −51% |
| Sven Berg | 2–11 | −9.35u | −72% |
| Stefan Holm | 1–10–1 | −8.95u | −81% |
Kai Nilsen and Longshot Lou finished almost level on net units, though Lou had far more settled picks. Stefan Holm's 1–10–1 record gave him the lowest ROI among the five.
Highest winning odds
The eight biggest settled wins by odds, with the match result and score.
| Odds | Profit | Tipster | Pick | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 7.50 | +6.50u | The Draw King | Draw | England U21 0–0 Slovakia U21 |
| 6.50 | +5.50u | Acca Andy | Away | Portugal U20 1–2 Switzerland U20 |
| 4.75 | +3.75u | Longshot Lou | Draw | Os 0–0 Askøy |
| 4.50 | +3.50u | Greg Sanders | Draw | Frigg 1–1 Gamle Oslo |
| 4.50 | +3.50u | Greg Sanders | Draw | Ried 3–3 SKU Amstetten |
| 4.33 | +3.33u | Greg Sanders | Home | Jitex W 2–1 Linköping W |
| 3.98 | +2.98u | Greg Sanders | Draw | Yeovil Town 1–1 Worthing |
| 3.90 | +2.90u | Longshot Lou | Home | Jitex W 2–1 Linköping W |
The England U21 and Portugal U20 matches topped the odds list. Greg Sanders appears four times in the eight, including the 4.33 Jitex W home win.
New tipsters
No tipsters joined during the 29 September–5 October window.
Best-performing leagues
Leagues need at least five settled picks to qualify. Some high returns below came from small samples.
| League | Record | Net | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Segunda División (Spain) | 28–18 | +13.11u | 28% |
| Liga Profesional Argentina | 28–23 | +12.15u | 24% |
| Serie B (Brazil) | 23–16 | +9.41u | 24% |
| Serie A (Brazil) | 10–3 | +8.36u | 64% |
| 3. Division – Girone 1 (Norway) | 8–1 | +6.82u | 76% |
| Elitettan (Sweden) | 4–2 | +5.37u | 90% |
| Primera A (Colombia) | 12–6–9 | +3.58u | 20% |
| Non League Premier – Northern (England) | 5–2–1 | +2.39u | 34% |
| Ligue 2 (Algeria) | 5–2 | +2.14u | 31% |
| USL Championship (USA) | 7–4 | +1.91u | 17% |
| FAW Championship (Wales) | 3–3 | +1.33u | 22% |
| Major League Soccer (USA) | 9–4–5 | +1.28u | 10% |
Segunda División led on a 46-pick sample. Norway's Girone 1 returned +6.82u from nine picks, while Sweden's Elitettan had six. Both are small samples. See the full league list for other competitions.
Worst-performing leagues
| League | Record | Net | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Primera División (Uruguay) | 16–31–3 | −16.86u | −36% |
| League Two (England) | 11–27–3 | −15.20u | −40% |
| National League (England) | 9–18 | −10.19u | −38% |
| Eerste Divisie (Netherlands) | 19–22 | −10.02u | −24% |
| UEFA U21 Championship – Qualification | 14–26–1 | −8.36u | −20% |
Uruguay's Primera División had the largest league loss, −16.86u from 50 settled picks. League Two football predictions lost −15.20u from 41 settled picks.
League Two football predictions
League Two finished 11–27–3. The 38 decided picks produced a 29% win rate and −40% ROI. Rochdale 1–0 Swindon Town was one of the week's better results, with four match-result or handicap picks winning. Several picks went the other way at Accrington Stanley 2–0 Cheltenham, Gillingham 0–0 Newport County and Crewe 3–1 Bristol Rovers. Two Northampton–Oldham picks were voided after the match did not produce a score.
Betting markets
| Market | Settled | Record | Win | Net | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 311 | 115–183–13 | 39% | −6.03u | −2% |
| BTTS yes | 198 | 110–82–6 | 57% | −18.46u | −10% |
| BTTS no | 14 | 6–8 | 43% | −3.19u | −23% |
| Over 2.5 | 126 | 65–58–3 | 53% | −3.39u | −3% |
| Under 2.5 | 61 | 16–44–1 | 27% | −30.21u | −50% |
| Asian handicap | 121 | 67–41–13 | 62% | +14.10u | 13% |
| Double chance | 83 | 38–41–4 | 48% | −21.00u | −27% |
Asian handicap was the only market in profit, at +14.10u. Under 2.5 goals had the largest loss: 16 wins and 44 losses, for −30.21u. Double chance lost −21.00u from 83 picks. The market ROI uses decided picks, so voids are excluded from the denominator.
Where to go next
The board lost −68.18u across 914 settled football tips. Asian handicap finished ahead; under 2.5 goals and double chance accounted for the largest market losses.
- Full records, including losing weeks: matchterminal.org/tipsters
- Upcoming football tips today and the full picks board
- How football predictions are made and settled
- Live football scores while pending picks are in play
Tips are posted before kick-off. Odds move. Stake only what you can afford to lose.