Last week's football tips results: 15–21 September 2026
903 settled football predictions from 15–21 September 2026. Winners, losers, leagues and markets; losing weeks stay on the board.
Match Terminal8 min read
Public football tips on Match Terminal settle against the finished score. The tipster leaderboard keeps the full record. This recap covers 15–21 September 2026 by London kick-off date, including every public pick already settled.
The board closed at 903 settled football predictions from 48 tipsters: 429–449–25 and −71.16u. The win rate was 49% and ROI was −8%. One unit means one stake. Pending picks are excluded and remain with today's football tips until they settle.
Top winners
Tipsters need at least five settled picks to qualify. The table is ranked by net units.
| Tipster | Record | Win | Net | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kai Nilsen | 11–3 | 79% | +8.09u | 58% |
| Mo Faris | 7–5 | 58% | +7.16u | 60% |
| Sam Crowe | 14–3 | 82% | +6.43u | 38% |
| Ezra Walsh | 13–3 | 81% | +4.75u | 30% |
| Helena Ortiz | 5–4 | 56% | +4.41u | 49% |
| BTTS Brian | 34–12 | 74% | +4.36u | 9% |
| Maya Okonkwo | 13–4 | 76% | +3.69u | 22% |
| Cora Flynn | 10–5 | 67% | +3.28u | 22% |
| Contrarian Carl | 12–8 | 60% | +3.00u | 15% |
| Fiona Grant | 3–3 | 50% | +2.17u | 36% |
Kai Nilsen led the week with 11 wins from 14 and +8.09u. His under 2.5 goals picks made that return while the market as a whole lost −3.13u. Mo Faris topped the 1X2 board at 7–5 and +7.16u, despite 1X2 finishing as the week's largest market loss. Sam Crowe's 14–3 record supplied the highest win rate among the top three.
Biggest losers
The same five-pick minimum applies here.
| Tipster | Record | Net | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Longshot Lou | 8–41–2 | −19.30u | −39% |
| The Draw King | 1–14 | −10.11u | −67% |
| Len Whitaker | 7–20–3 | −9.35u | −35% |
| Eddie Marsh | 15–18–1 | −8.54u | −26% |
| Odds-On Ollie | 6–14 | −8.51u | −43% |
Longshot Lou still landed two of the eight highest-priced winners, but 41 losses left him at −19.30u. The Draw King's 4.89 draw at Portadown could not repair a 1–14 week. Losing records stay beside the winning ones on the board.
Highest winning odds
The eight longest settled winners were all match-result picks.
| Odds | Profit | Tipster | Pick | Match |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 5.75 | +4.75u | Acca Andy | Away | York 1–3 Newcastle United U21 |
| 4.89 | +3.89u | The Draw King | Draw | Portadown 1–1 Linfield |
| 4.63 | +3.63u | Helena Ortiz | Home | Amed 3–2 Beşiktaş |
| 4.50 | +3.50u | Luca Voss | Away | Espanyol 1–3 Elche |
| 4.50 | +3.50u | Longshot Lou | Away | York 1–3 Newcastle United U21 |
| 4.33 | +3.33u | Greg Sanders | Draw | Diegem Sport 2–2 Bocholt |
| 4.20 | +3.20u | Longshot Lou | Home | Omonia Nicosia 1–0 Celta Vigo |
| 4.08 | +3.08u | Greg Sanders | Draw | Keflavik 2–2 Fram Reykjavik |
Acca Andy and Longshot Lou both backed Newcastle United U21 at 5.75 and 4.50 respectively. Helena Ortiz's 4.63 home win helped her finish fifth overall at +4.41u.
New tipsters
No tipsters joined during the 15–21 September window.
Best-performing leagues
Leagues need five settled picks to appear. Several leaders have thin samples, which limits what the table says beyond this week.
| League | Record | Net | ROI |
|---|---|---|---|
| Serie A (Italy) | 14–4 | +15.49u | 86% |
| Serie A (Brazil) | 10–5 | +7.96u | 53% |
| EFL Trophy | 6–4 | +7.22u | 72% |
| La Liga | 22–15–4 | +7.04u | 19% |
| Premier League (Egypt) | 12–1 | +6.98u | 54% |
| Primera División (Peru) | 8–1 | +6.54u | 73% |
| Ekstraklasa | 11–2 | +5.36u | 41% |
| Superettan | 7–2–1 | +5.00u | 56% |
| Super League (Switzerland) | 8–0–1 | +4.19u | 52% |
| Primera Nacional | 4–1–1 | +3.88u | 78% |
| Liga Alef | 5–1 | +3.81u | 63% |
| National League | 8–3 | +3.43u | 31% |
Italian Serie A had both volume and return: 18 decided picks produced +15.49u. La Liga was busier at 41 settled picks including four voids, and its +7.04u is less exposed to a tiny sample than most rows above it. Browse the full league list for the wider fixture board.
Worst-performing leagues
| League | Record | Net |
|---|---|---|
| Bundesliga | 11–19 | −12.50u |
| Liga Profesional Argentina | 2–11–1 | −9.34u |
| Damallsvenskan | 1–9 | −8.10u |
| Eerste Divisie | 5–13 | −7.85u |
| Allsvenskan | 3–8 | −6.06u |
The Bundesliga was the week's largest league loss on 30 settled picks. Liga Profesional Argentina, Damallsvenskan and Allsvenskan combined for six wins, 28 losses and one void.
Premier League football predictions
English Premier League football predictions went 5–8 for −3.29u, a 38% win rate and −25% ROI.
The wins were Brighton 3–0 Arsenal on BTTS no at 2.05; Brentford 3–0 Chelsea on the 2.88 home result and over 2.5 goals at 1.50; Tottenham 2–3 Aston Villa over 2.5 at 1.78; and Fulham 1–1 Manchester United on BTTS yes at 1.50.
Brentford's clean sheet also lost a BTTS yes pick and a draw pick. Leeds 0–0 Crystal Palace, Bournemouth 0–1 Liverpool, Newcastle 2–1 Hull City and Nottingham Forest 0–1 Coventry supplied the other losses.
League Two football predictions
League Two had only three settled football match tips, all losses, for −3.00u. Chesterfield 2–0 York beat a BTTS yes pick and a York away pick. Accrington Stanley 0–0 Newport County lost an over 2.5 goals pick. This sample is too small to rank alongside the qualified leagues.
Betting markets
| Market | Settled | Record | Win | Net |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1X2 | 289 | 91–192–6 | 32% | −40.11u |
| BTTS yes | 204 | 123–78–3 | 61% | −9.68u |
| BTTS no | 13 | 8–5 | 62% | +1.75u |
| Over 2.5 | 131 | 73–53–5 | 58% | −6.92u |
| Under 2.5 | 65 | 33–32 | 51% | −3.13u |
| Asian handicap | 134 | 61–62–11 | 50% | −12.61u |
| Double chance | 67 | 40–27 | 60% | −0.47u |
Only BTTS no finished green, returning +1.75u from 13 picks. Both teams to score yes landed 61% of decided picks and still lost −9.68u. Over 2.5 goals followed the same pattern at 58% and −6.92u. A winning strike rate does not guarantee a profit when the prices are short.
The 1X2 market accounted for −40.11u, more than half the board's weekly loss. Asian handicap went almost level on results at 61–62–11 but lost −12.61u. Double chance came closest to flat at −0.47u.
Where to go next
The board lost −71.16u from 903 settled betting tips. Italian Serie A and a few smaller league samples paid; 1X2 and the Bundesliga did most of the damage.
- Full records, including the losing weeks: matchterminal.org/tipsters
- Upcoming football tips today and the full picks board
- How football predictions are made and settled
- Live football scores while pending picks are in play
Tips are posted before kick-off. Odds move. Stake only what you can afford to lose.